Wednesday, September 7, 2016

Fantasy Football decisions

Hello Fantasy Fans!

It’s finally here – after months of waiting, devouring every article, drafting both mock and real… tomorrow night opens the season.

And now you have an active lineup due.
Maybe you went WR for the first three picks and have to choose between Matt Jones, Thomas Rawls, and TJ Yeldon for two RB slots. Maybe you went “best position available” from the 10th slot in a 12 team league, missing the two 4 WRs and 5 RBs, and your choice for a flex is between Larry Fitzgerald, Travis Benjamin, and Stefon Digs.

Isn’t it funny how all the articles you see right now list Lamar Miller as a better start this week than Todd Gurley, or give the nod to Antonio Brown over Beckham Jr.? As if you are ever going to have to make that choice (speaking purely of redraft leagues).

When it gets down to reality, it is purely matchup driven. I have Cam Newton in one (keeper) league, and guess what – against Denver’s defense I am sitting the consensus (preseason) #1 QB. I drafted Brock Osweiler as a backup and I love him this week against Chicago’s hurt cornerbacks with a couple shiny new toys (I mean rookies).

And speaking of those rookies, I nabbed Will Fuller in a couple drafts. However, even though HIS matchup is equally attractive, he’s riding the pine since I have Randall Cobb and DeSean Jackson penciled in as my starters in one, and Jackson and TY Hilton in another. (Yes, I went against conventional wisdom this year and went RB heavy in most leagues so I do not have some of the premier wideout names).

Another personal lineup decision: Flex between Ryan Matthews and Mike Evans? I’m going with Matthews because Evans is facing Atlanta’s Trufant. Simple as that.

If you have a really solid lineup overall, feel free to take a chance with your personal Will Fuller.  A high ceiling player might be just the ticket if you have a group of solid floors, you know? But don’t go with all your ceiling players, either.

So where am I going with this? We have a limited scope of preseason work (that I don’t trust anyways, because. Preseason.) We have last year’s numbers. We have grades of offensive and defensive lines… Honestly we’re swimming in too much information, but you have to make the call at some point. 

So, my point is – treat this week’s lineup decisions just as you’d treat week 6 or week 12: take the info you have, take your knowledge of the player and teams, and roll with your best guess.

Good luck out there! Are you ready for some football?????



No comments: